Riding on the huge realty demand,
India is seeing an investment boom in housing,
commercial and retail projects. Over the next
year, these will be mainly routed through the
FDI path and through real estate venture capital
funds. While real estate is expect to account
for 18% for all FDI investments over the next
year (up from 10.6% in ’04), the VC funds
are expected to pump in as much as Rs 5,400 crore
over the next year.
Housing projects, that account
for 80% of the realty development, and are being
driven by a big boom in home-buying. On the other
hand, the infotech sector alone is driving commercial
development with a demand approximating 75-85m
square feet of commercial space over the next
five years.
The ‘India Property Investment
Review’ released by Knight Frank for the
last quarter of this calendar year estimates that
there are at least 14 real estate VC funds seeking
to enter the market with an investment close to
5,500 crore over the next year. Some of the bigger
ones are the IDFC fund with Rs 1,500 crore, the
ICICITishman Speyer (India Advantage Fund III)
with Rs 1,350 crore and the Ascendas India IT
parks Fund with Rs 1,035 crore.
Since the report was put together,
a few more funds seem to have announced plans
to launch. These include the Piramal Holdings
Fund and the Solitaire Fund promoted by a few
Singapore-based NRIs. Sebi, so far, has approved
the HDFC India Real Estate Fund, the ICICI Fund,
Kshitij, Fire Capital and AR Rathi. The HDFC Fund
is already operational and has deployed around
Rs 200 crore of the Rs 1,000 crore fund.
The HDFC Fund is targeting
commercial projects with ‘bluechip’
tenants paying high lease rentals that will guarantee
high yields between 12-20% on investment. The
HDFC Fund will also deploy money in projects still
under development but expecting completion in
1-3 years, as well as projects on the drawing
board expecting completion in 3-6 years. These
would typically be high-risk, but high-return
projects.
Some funds expect to have a
more specific investment target like the Pantaloon-promoted
Kshitij aimed at developing malls, while the Ascendas
Fund will concentrate on IT Parks. These funds
are targeting both institutions and high net worth
individuals (HNIs). The Kishore Biyani fund ‘Kshitij’
as well as the recently launched Solitaire Fund
by some Singapore-based NRIs specifically target
HNIs.
“In two or three years,
the best commercial and retail properties will
be owned by funds and institutions, thereby changing
the way quality is regulated in property,”
Knight Frank chairman Pranay Vakil told ET. “However,
the Bombay High Court judgement on mill lands
has got the foreign funds scared. It has created
uncertainty,” he added.
Meanwhile, the relaxation of
norms for FDI in real estate and permission for
VC funds in the sector seem to have opened a flood
gate of investment, recent surveys show. According
to AT Kearney’s Global Investor Confidence
Survey ’04, India has been ranked as the
third most favoured destination for FDI behind
China and the US.
According to the Knight Frank
report, there are at least 14 large FDI proposals
or clearances for housing projects this year.
These include clearances under
the old pre-March norms of projects like that
of the Salim Group of Indonesia for a township
in Kolkata, of Lee Kim Tah Holdings of Singapore
for a township in Kolkata, and Singapore’s
Keppel Land for a Condominium project in Bangalore.
By the end of the current financial year, it is
expected that around a billion dollars of FDI
in real estate would have been deployed.